Tech Megatrends ETF Report | November 2024

Equal Weight ETF Key Takeaways

• ITEK gained 1.34% in October.
• Big Tech 3rd quarter earnings impressed; 30%+ Cloud revenue gains for Google & Microsoft.
• Record AI chip spending powers NVIDIA to world’s most valuable company, ahead of Apple.
• Lower US inflation – Federal Reserve expected to make additional rate cuts, potentially positive tailwind for ITEK.
• ITEK P/E valuations remain below 20, attractive vs. Nasdaq above 30X.
• For 2024, best subthemes have been Blockchain, Digital Entertainment, Social Media, Cloud & Cybersecurity.
• For October – Social Media & Blockchain best performers. Future Cars & Genomics laggards.
• Unlike 100% US centric Nasdaq & many Tech Indices/Funds.
• Fast adoption of OpenAI, ChatGPT & BARD AI – continues boosting Cloud Computing and AI spend.
• Equal weight across 8 subthemes (12.5% per theme; 120 total holdings, 15 per subtheme).
• Tech Convergence and AI – boosts broader Tech gains across ITEK holdings, beyond Magnificent 7.
• Social Media, Cloud, AI, Cybersecurity, EVs, Robotics, and Streaming all interlinked – boosting usage & deals.
• ITEK potentially well positioned for broader Tech rally in 2024 beyond Mega-Caps.
• Soft landing will help Tech spending & earnings as economic confidence grows.
• Top 15 leaders for each Megatrend subtheme – all established firms.
• Top 5 holdings less than 10% weight; Top 10 under 14%. Nasdaq approaching 40% & 55% respectively.
• Mega-Cap weight still below 9% (Nasdaq 49%).
• Global mix: US 58.7%, China 10.4%, Japan 8.4%, South Korea 3.5%, & Australia 3.4%.
• Equal Weight top holdings – offers broader diversity vs. Nasdaq & many active Tech funds.

Source of all data: Gins Global / Bloomberg as of 31/10/2024. Additional sources available upon request. Please note that all performance figures are showing net data. Past performance is not indicative of future performance and when you invest in ETFs, your capital is at risk.

Macro Outlook

• AI Convergence across Tech space – positive for Cloud, Social Media, Gaming, Future Cars & Cybersecurity.
• Big Fed rate cuts boosting M&A deals across key ITEK holdings: Large-Caps, Mid-Caps & Small-Caps.
• Tech gains broadening beyond Mega-Caps as Fed rate cuts likely – helps equal weight approach.
• Two more Fed rate cuts before year-end 2024 – inflation falling and unemployment rising.
• Tailwind for Tech stock valuations beyond Magnificent 7 / FAANGs.
• US Chips Act & $1tn Infrastructure Bill boosts EVs & big onshoring trend.
• Big AI spending boosting Big Tech values & Cloud providers.
• Over $2.6tn spending in AI expected within the decade, boosting Cloud spending to an estimated $2.3bn+ too.
• ITEK holdings still relatively cheap valuations, majority trading at PEs below 20X.
• Many ITEK stocks remain below 2021 levels, undervalued versus Magnificent 7.
• Social Media boosted via gaming & video streaming to mobile (expected to double in 3yrs). See chart below for growth.
• Online Gaming dominated by Mobile – boosting Digital Entertainment/Videos.

Subtheme Returns – October
ContributionContribution (%)Average Return (%)Sum of Weight (%)
Blockchain1.55%11.89%13.71%
Robotics & Automation-0.29%-2.37%11.86%
Genomics-0.74%-5.82%12.06%
Cyber Security-0.31%-2.60%11.52%
Future Cars-0.91%-7.32%11.91%
Digital Entertainment-0.29%-1.93%12.12%
Cloud Computing-0.21%-1.35%13.04%
Social Media2.38%20.36%13.75%
Total1.18%

Source of all data: Solactive. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance.

Largest Contributors – October
HOLDINGSIndex CategoryContribution (%)Return
(%)Average Weight (%)
TRUMP MEDIA & TECHNOLOGY GROUPSocial Media0.80%119.91%1.21%
PELOTON INTERACTIVE INCSocial Media0.66%81.62%0.97%
REDDIT INCSocial Media0.72%80.98%1.07%
TERAWULF INCBlockchain0.34%39.32%0.98%
HUT 8 CORPBlockchain0.28%28.66%1.08%
CIPHER MINING INCBlockchain0.25%27.39%1.06%
RIOT PLATFORMS INCBlockchain0.20%24.53%0.95%
ROBLOX CORPDigital Entertainment0.14%16.85%0.77%
HIVE DIGITAL TECHNOLOGIES LTDBlockchain0.12%14.64%0.88%
SNAP INCSocial Media0.13%13.64%0.93%
CLEANSPARK INCBlockchain0.10%13.60%0.81%
GRINDR INCSocial Media0.10%12.15%0.85%
CORE SCIENTIFIC INCBlockchain0.11%12.06%1.01%
MARVELL TECHNOLOGY INCRobotics & Automation0.09%11.08%0.82%
ILLUMINA INCGenomics0.08%10.53%0.87%
TRADE DESK INC/THE -CLASS ADigital Entertainment0.08%9.63%0.90%
LIFE360 INC-CDISocial Media0.08%9.52%0.87%
NVIDIA CORPRobotics & Automation0.08%9.32%0.90%
DATADOG INCCloud Computing0.07%9.02%0.86%
BIT DIGITAL INCBlockchain0.08%8.55%0.91%
MEDIATEKRobotics & Automation0.07%8.44%0.82%
CLOUDFLARE INC – CLASS ACloud Computing0.07%8.43%0.86%
IRIS ENERGY LTDBlockchain0.07%8.06%0.90%
SENTINELONE INCCyber Security0.06%7.82%0.86%
BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COGenomics0.07%7.79%0.85%
NETFLIX INCDigital Entertainment0.05%6.59%0.84%

Source of all data: Solactive. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance.

Equal Weight ETF Performance
As of 31.10.2024

ITEK (Fund)SOLITEK (Index)
1M5.23%5.28%
3M-11.01%-10.94%
6M14.22%14.59%
YTD12.25%12.76%
12M13.93%14.76%
3Y72.48%75.38%
Since Inception (05/10/2018)149.13%157.62%

 

Please note that all performance figures are showing net data. Source: Bloomberg / HANetf. Data as of 31/10/2024
Performance before inception is based on back tested data. Back testing is the process of evaluating an investment strategy by applying it to historical data to simulate what the performance of such strategy would have been. Back tested data does not represent actual performance and should not be interpreted as an indication of actual or future performance. Past performance for the index is in USD. Past performance is not an indicator for future results and should not be the sole factor of consideration when selecting a product. Investors should read the prospectus of the Issuer (“Prospectus”) before investing and should refer to the section of the Prospectus entitled ‘Risk Factors’ for further details of risks associated with an investment in this product. When you invest in ETFs and ETCs, your capital is at risk.

* The SFDR classifications for the funds are documented in their respective supplements and approved by the Central Bank of Ireland. The supplement for each fund can be found on their respective product page.

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